{"id":1545,"date":"2018-11-16T15:49:01","date_gmt":"2018-11-16T15:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/?p=1545"},"modified":"2024-12-16T22:32:41","modified_gmt":"2024-12-16T19:32:41","slug":"bugs-count-estimation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/2018\/11\/16\/bugs-count-estimation\/","title":{"rendered":"\u305d\u3053\u306b\u306f\u4f55\u500b\u306e\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304b?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.ycombinator.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hacker News<\/a> \u3067\u3001\u8457\u8005\u304c\u30d4\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3-\u30ea\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u8005\u304c\u9ce5\u3001\u733f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u52d5\u7269\u306e\u500b\u4f53\u6570\u3092\u6570\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3001\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067 * \u30c9\u30e9\u30e0 \u30ed\u30fc\u30eb* <strong> \u866b\u3092\u6570\u3048\u308b<\/strong> \u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1550\" src=\"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/bigfoot.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"554\" height=\"369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/bigfoot.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/bigfoot-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/bigfoot-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 554px) 100vw, 554px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u606f\u5730\u306e\u30d0\u30b0&#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/loimere\/4667972182\/in\/photostream\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u30d3\u30c3\u30b0\u30d5\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u76ee\u6483\u60c5\u5831<\/a> (<a href=\"https) :\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/loimere\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u30c7\u30ec\u30af\u30fb\u30cf\u30c3\u30c8\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3059\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%9E%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%82%\" \u306e 2 \u3064\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 D0%BE %D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%B8%D1%8F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u9ce5\u985e\u5b66\u8005<\/a>\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u7a2e\u306e\u9ce5\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4efb\u52d9 &#8211;\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u9ce5\u306e\u500b\u4f53\u6570\u3092\u8abf\u3079\u307e\u3059\u3002\u767a\u898b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u9ce5\u306f\u4e21\u65b9\u306e\u9ce5\u985e\u5b66\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u30de\u30fc\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u9ce5\u306e\u6570\u304c\u8a08\u7b97\u3055\u308c\u3001\u30ea\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u6307\u6570\u306e\u5f0f\u306b\u4ee3\u5165\u3055\u308c\u3001\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d\u306e\u500b\u4f53\u6570\u30b5\u30a4\u30ba\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\u3055\u3042\u3001\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067\u3059 &#8211;\u65b9\u6cd5\u3082\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3059\u30022 \u3064\u306e QA \u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3001\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002 1 \u4eba\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u304c 10 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0 (<strong>E1<\/strong>) \u3092\u767a\u898b\u3057\u30012 \u756a\u76ee\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u304c 20 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0 (<strong>E2<\/strong>) \u3092\u767a\u898b\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u30d0\u30b0\u306e\u5408\u8a08\u6570\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 3 (<strong>S<\/strong>)\u3001\u5f0f\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066<strong>\u30ea\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u6307\u6570<\/strong>\u3092\u53d6\u5f97\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1552\" src=\"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Screenshot_20181116_191540.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"318\" height=\"79\" srcset=\"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Screenshot_20181116_191540.png 318w, https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/Screenshot_20181116_191540-300x75.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 318px) 100vw, 318px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u6570\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6700\u5927 66 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u8fc5\u901f\u306a\u4f8b<\/h3>\n<p>\u30e1\u30bd\u30c3\u30c9\u3092\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u30d9\u30f3\u30c1\u3092\u5b9f\u88c5\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/paiza.io\/projects\/AY_9T3oaN9a-xICAx_H4qw?language=swift\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/paiza.io\/projects\/AY_9T3oaN9a-xICAx_H4qw?language=swift<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5909\u66f4\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf:<\/p>\n<p>aliceErrorFindProbability = 20 &#8211; \u306b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 QA \u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u767a\u898b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30d0\u30b0\u306e\u5272\u5408 (20%)<br \/>let bobErrorFindProbability = 60 &#8211; QA Bob \u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u767a\u898b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30d0\u30b0\u306e\u5272\u5408 (60%)<br \/>\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u6570 = 200 &#8211; \u306b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306b\u306f\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u200b\u200b<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\u306e\u5b9f\u884c\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u53d6\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\u63a8\u5b9a\u30d0\u30b0\u6570: 213<br \/>\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u6570: 200<\/p>\n<p>\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306b\u306f 200 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30ea\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u6307\u6570\u3067\u306f &#8211; \u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002 213:<br \/>&#8220;\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u306f 36 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f&#8221;<br \/>&#8220;\u30dc\u30d6\u306f 89 \u500b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f&#8221;<br \/>&#8220;\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u30d0\u30b0\u6570: 15&#8221;<br \/>&#8212;<br \/>\u63a8\u5b9a\u30d0\u30b0\u6570\uff1a213\u4ef6<br \/>\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u30d0\u30b0\u6570: 200<\/p>\n<h3>\u5f31\u70b9<\/h3>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u958b\u767a\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u6570\u3092\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<em>\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u306b\u306f\u30d0\u30b0\u306e\u6570\u304c\u6e1b\u5c11\u3059\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3059\u3002 2 \u4eba\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u304b\u3089\u898b\u3064\u304b\u3063\u305f\u30d0\u30b0\u306e\u6570\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3042\u308a<strong><em>\u7570\u306a\u308b\u30d0\u30b0<\/em><\/strong>\u304c\u898b\u3064\u304b\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001<\/em>\u3053\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u306e\u5f31\u70b9\u306b\u306f\u4eba\u7684\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u542b\u307e\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002 <em >\u5171\u901a\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059<\/em><\/strong>\u3002\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3044\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30e1\u30bd\u30c3\u30c9\u306f\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093 (\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u30d0\u30b0\u304c\u30bc\u30ed &#8211; <em><strong>\u30bc\u30ed\u9664\u7b97<\/strong><\/em>)< br \/>\u307e\u305f\u3001<em><strong>\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u30d0\u30b0<\/strong><\/em>\u306a\u3069\u306e\u6982\u5ff5\u306b\u306f\u3001 \u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e<em><strong>\u5171\u901a\u6027<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u3059\u308b\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u306e\u5b58\u5728\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002 ><\/p>\n<h3>\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.johndcook.com\/blog\/2010\/07\/13\/lincoln-index\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u3042\u3068\u3044\u304f\u3064\u306e\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304b? &#8211;\u30b8\u30e7\u30f3 D. \u30af\u30c3\u30af\u535a\u58eb\u3001\u793e\u9577<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/bit-player.org\/2010\/the-thrill-of-the-chase\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The thrill of the chase &#8211; Brian Hayes<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9\u30b3\u30fc\u30c9<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/paiza.io\/projects\/AY_9T3oaN9a-xICAx_H4qw? language=swift\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/paiza.io\/projects\/AY_9T3oaN9a-xICAx_H4qw ?\u8a00\u8a9e=\u30b9\u30a6\u30a3\u30d5\u30c8<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/gitlab.com\/demensdeum\/statistics\/tree\/master\/1_BugsCountEstimation\/src\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/gitlab.com\/demensdeum\/statistics\/tree\/master\/1_BugsCountEstimation\/src<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hacker News \u3067\u3001\u8457\u8005\u304c\u30d4\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3-\u30ea\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u8005\u304c\u9ce5\u3001\u733f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u52d5\u7269\u306e\u500b\u4f53\u6570\u3092\u6570\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3001\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067 * \u30c9\u30e9\u30e0 \u30ed\u30fc\u30eb* \u866b\u3092\u6570\u3048\u308b \u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u81ea\u7136\u751f\u606f\u5730\u306e\u30d0\u30b0&#8211; \u30d3\u30c3\u30b0\u30d5\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u76ee\u6483\u60c5\u5831 (\u30c7\u30ec\u30af\u30fb\u30cf\u30c3\u30c8\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9 \u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-techie","entry"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"ja","enabled_languages":["en","ru","zh","de","fr","ja","pt","hi"],"languages":{"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"zh":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"ja":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"pt":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"hi":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1545"}],"version-history":[{"count":22,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3969,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545\/revisions\/3969"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demensdeum.com\/blog\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}